{"source":"Scénario 500signatures — propension à parrainer (modèle SOCIO-5) × affinité politique territoire/candidat","note":"Indice RELATIF de vivier accessible (0-100), scénario fondé sur des hypothèses d'affinité explicites. Ce n'est PAS une prévision du nombre de signatures ni un sondage.","hypotheses_affinite":"Familles placées sur un axe gauche→droite ; affinité = 1 - distance/3 (min 0).","candidats":[{"nom":"PHILIPPE Édouard","slug":"philippe-edouard","famille":"centre","statut":"declare","profil":{"part_rural":73.6,"revenu_moyen":26306},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.5},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"57","part":2},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.9}],"indice":100},{"nom":"ATTAL Gabriel","slug":"attal-gabriel","famille":"centre","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":73.6,"revenu_moyen":26306},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.5},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"57","part":2},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.9}],"indice":100},{"nom":"DARMANIN Gérald","slug":"darmanin-gerald","famille":"centre","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":73.6,"revenu_moyen":26306},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.5},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"57","part":2},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.9}],"indice":100},{"nom":"LASSALLE Jean","slug":"lassalle-jean","famille":"divers","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.3,"revenu_moyen":26230},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.6},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"57","part":2},{"dep":"76","part":2},{"dep":"02","part":2}],"indice":98.9},{"nom":"ASSELINEAU François","slug":"asselineau-francois","famille":"divers","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.3,"revenu_moyen":26230},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.6},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"57","part":2},{"dep":"76","part":2},{"dep":"02","part":2}],"indice":98.9},{"nom":"RETAILLEAU Bruno","slug":"retailleau-bruno","famille":"droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.7,"revenu_moyen":26446},"top_departements":[{"dep":"59","part":2.4},{"dep":"62","part":2.3},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.8}],"indice":97.5},{"nom":"WAUQUIEZ Laurent","slug":"wauquiez-laurent","famille":"droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.7,"revenu_moyen":26446},"top_departements":[{"dep":"59","part":2.4},{"dep":"62","part":2.3},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.8}],"indice":97.5},{"nom":"VILLEPIN Dominique de","slug":"villepin-dominique-de","famille":"droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.7,"revenu_moyen":26446},"top_departements":[{"dep":"59","part":2.4},{"dep":"62","part":2.3},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.8}],"indice":97.5},{"nom":"LISNARD David","slug":"lisnard-david","famille":"droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.7,"revenu_moyen":26446},"top_departements":[{"dep":"59","part":2.4},{"dep":"62","part":2.3},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.8}],"indice":97.5},{"nom":"DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas","slug":"dupont-aignan-nicolas","famille":"droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":74.7,"revenu_moyen":26446},"top_departements":[{"dep":"59","part":2.4},{"dep":"62","part":2.3},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":1.9},{"dep":"76","part":1.8}],"indice":97.5},{"nom":"TONDELIER Marine","slug":"tondelier-marine","famille":"ecologiste","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":77.1,"revenu_moyen":26040},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.9},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"76","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"80","part":2}],"indice":93.6},{"nom":"FAURE Olivier","slug":"faure-olivier","famille":"gauche","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":78.6,"revenu_moyen":25933},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":3},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"76","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"80","part":2}],"indice":91.1},{"nom":"GLUCKSMANN Raphaël","slug":"glucksmann-raphael","famille":"gauche","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":78.6,"revenu_moyen":25933},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":3},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"76","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"80","part":2}],"indice":91.1},{"nom":"RUFFIN François","slug":"ruffin-francois","famille":"gauche","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":78.6,"revenu_moyen":25933},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":3},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"76","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"80","part":2}],"indice":91.1},{"nom":"CAZENEUVE Bernard","slug":"cazeneuve-bernard","famille":"gauche","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":78.6,"revenu_moyen":25933},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":3},{"dep":"59","part":2.5},{"dep":"76","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"80","part":2}],"indice":91.1},{"nom":"LE PEN Marine","slug":"le-pen-marine","famille":"extreme_droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":80.4,"revenu_moyen":26351},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.4},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"59","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"21","part":2}],"indice":88.2},{"nom":"BARDELLA Jordan","slug":"bardella-jordan","famille":"extreme_droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":80.4,"revenu_moyen":26351},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.4},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"59","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"21","part":2}],"indice":88.2},{"nom":"ZEMMOUR Éric","slug":"zemmour-eric","famille":"extreme_droite","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":80.4,"revenu_moyen":26351},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.4},{"dep":"57","part":2.1},{"dep":"59","part":2.1},{"dep":"02","part":2.1},{"dep":"21","part":2}],"indice":88.2},{"nom":"MÉLENCHON Jean-Luc","slug":"melenchon-jean-luc","famille":"gauche_radicale","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":84.6,"revenu_moyen":25983},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.8},{"dep":"02","part":2.3},{"dep":"80","part":2.2},{"dep":"59","part":2.2},{"dep":"76","part":2.1}],"indice":82.7},{"nom":"ROUSSEL Fabien","slug":"roussel-fabien","famille":"gauche_radicale","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":84.6,"revenu_moyen":25983},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.8},{"dep":"02","part":2.3},{"dep":"80","part":2.2},{"dep":"59","part":2.2},{"dep":"76","part":2.1}],"indice":82.7},{"nom":"ARTHAUD Nathalie","slug":"arthaud-nathalie","famille":"gauche_radicale","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":84.6,"revenu_moyen":25983},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.8},{"dep":"02","part":2.3},{"dep":"80","part":2.2},{"dep":"59","part":2.2},{"dep":"76","part":2.1}],"indice":82.7},{"nom":"POUTOU Philippe","slug":"poutou-philippe","famille":"gauche_radicale","statut":"pressenti","profil":{"part_rural":84.6,"revenu_moyen":25983},"top_departements":[{"dep":"62","part":2.8},{"dep":"02","part":2.3},{"dep":"80","part":2.2},{"dep":"59","part":2.2},{"dep":"76","part":2.1}],"indice":82.7}]}